THE EFFICIENCY OF PARI-MUTUEL BETTING IN STANDARDBRED RACING

Main Article Content

Elia Kacapyr

Abstract

This paper investigates stylized facts about pari-mutuel betting. Standardbred racing at The Meadowlands Racetrack on Friday and Saturday nights is analyzed to determine if bettors in this particular venue are efficient. In addition, adages concerning horse racing, such as the favorite wins 33 percent of time, are tested. Finally, a logistic regression is employed to determine if characteristics of a race, such as the amount of the purse, can help determine if the favorite horse is more likely to win the race.

Article Details

Section
Articles

References

Ali, Muktar M. 1977. “Probability and Utility Estimates for Racetrack Bettors.” The Journal of Political Economy 85(4): 803-15.

Ali, Muktar M. 1979. “Some Evidence of the Efficiency of a Speculative Market.” Econometrica 47: 387-92.

Asch, Peter, Burton G Malkiel, and Richard E. Quandt. 1984. "Market Efficiency in Racetrack Betting." Journal of Business 57: 65-75.

Busche, K. and Hall, C. 1988. “An Exception to the Risk Preference Anomaly.” Journal of Business 61: 337-46.

Gramm, W. and Owens, H. 2006. “Efficiency in Pari-mutuel Betting Markets across Wagering Pools in the Simulcast Era.” Southern Economic Journal 72(4): 926-37.

Gandar, J., Zuber, R., and Johnson, R. 2001. “Searching for the Favourite-Longshot Bias Down Under: An Examination of the New Zealand Pari-Mutuel Betting Market.” Applied Economics Letters 8: 601-4.

Hausch, D. B.; Ziemba, W. T.; and Rubinstein, M. 1981. “Efficiency of the Market for Racetrack Betting.” Management Science 27: 1435-52.

Marginson, David. 2010. “Market Efficiency in Person-to-Person Betting: Examining 'Known Loser' Insider Trading on the Exchanges.” Southern Economic Journal 76(4): 932-52.

Rosett, R. N. 1965. “Gambling and Rationality.” Journal of Political Economy 73: 595-607.

Snyder, Wayne N. 1978. “Horse Racing: Testing the Efficiency Markets Model.” Journal of Finance 22: 1109-18.

Thaler, R. and Ziemba, W.T. 1988. “Parimutuel Betting Markets: Racetracks and Lotteries.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 2: 161–174.