Published: 2012-12-19

Articles

COMPARING THE FORECASTING ACCURACY OF PREDICTION MARKETS AND POLLS FOR TAIWAN’S PRESIDENTIAL AND MAYORAL ELECTIONS

Chen-yuan Tung, Tzu-Chuan Chou, Jih-wen Lin, Hsin-yi Lin

1-26

INTERPRETING POLITICAL PREDICTION MARKET PRICES AS PROBABILITIES: A STUDY OF A 2008 U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION MARKET

John F Kros, Enping Mai, Christopher M Keller

27-41

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HOW PREDICTION MARKETS HELP US UNDERSTAND EVENTS` IMPACT ON THE VOTE IN US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS

Sveinung Arnesen

42-63

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DO POLLS OR MARKETS FORECAST BETTER? EVIDENCE FROM THE 2010 US SENATE ELECTIONS

Leighton Vaughan Williams, Blake Saville, Herman Stekler

64-74

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